Large Deviations for Cascades of Diffusions Arising in Oscillating Systems of Interacting Hawkes Processes

E. Löcherbach

We consider oscillatory systems of interacting Hawkes processes introduced in Ditlevsen and Löcherbach (Stoch Process Appl 2017, to model multi-class systems of interacting neurons together with the diffusion approximations of their intensity processes. This diffusion, which incorporates the memory terms defining the dynamics of the Hawkes process, is hypo-elliptic. It is given by a high-dimensional chain of differential equations driven by 2-dimensional Brownian motion. We study the large population, i.e., small noise limit of its invariant measure for which we establish a large deviation result in the spirit of Freidlin and Wentzell.

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